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Market Update

October, 2026

As California’s Salinas Valley growing season comes to an end, the produce industry is entering a challenging transition period. The shift to winter growing regions, combined with crop damage and the spread of Impatiens Necrotic Spot Virus (INSV), is creating significant supply and quality concerns for lettuce. Shorter shelf life, inconsistent availability and unusually high prices are expected over the coming weeks.

These industry-wide challenges are expected to continue through the transition, with improved growing conditions anticipated as production shifts to Yuma, Arizona, in late November.

Growing Region Transition

Each fall, produce production shifts from California’s Salinas Valley to winter growing regions, including Yuma, Arizona. As the Salinas season winds down, fewer fields are available for harvesting, limiting supply and putting additional pressure on pricing.

With other growing regions also finishing their seasons, demand for the remaining Western supply is increasing. Quality and availability challenges are expected to be especially significant through early November.

Impatiens Necrotic Spot Virus (INSV)

INSV is an insect-spread plant virus affecting lettuce crops in California’s Salinas Valley. The virus can cause lettuce to deteriorate rapidly, with damage appearing in the field or developing as browning and breakdown after harvest.

Prolonged heat and dry conditions have added further stress to affected crops, contributing to inconsistent quality and reduced shelf life. Chopped lettuce and romaine are particularly susceptible to rapid deterioration after processing.

Major Market Impacts

Iceberg Lettuce
Supply and quality issues caused by INSV, crop damage and the growing region transition. Shorter shelf life, limited availability and significantly higher prices are expected.

Leaf Lettuce
Inconsistent quality and tightening supplies due to INSV and end-of-season growing conditions. Increased deterioration and elevated pricing remain concerns.

Romaine Lettuce
Browning, reduced shelf life and rapid deterioration are affecting quality, particularly in chopped romaine and processed lettuce products.

Strawberries
Supplies are tightening, with inconsistent quality and availability concerns expected to continue through late November.

Alternative Products to Consider

While these challenges continue, whole-head lettuce has generally been performing better than chopped varieties. Little Leaf Farms lettuce and H2O Farm lettuce, grown in a controlled greenhouse environment, is another option to consider for more consistent quality.

Spinach, baby arugula, baby kale and kale may also serve as alternatives depending on your menu needs.

We know that fluctuations like these can be challenging. Our team is staying in constant contact with growers and shippers to secure the best possible quality for you every day. Even in a tough stretch, we’re focused on keeping your kitchens stocked and your menus strong.

As always, thank you for your continued partnership and understanding – it’s what keeps this industry resilient.